Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dallas: Jonah Braswell vs William Manning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffda7d4e5e7f27a4bfa9a3cbb18697ec67619c64b55d11d3e8dd38d65d995491
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- William Manningof Jonah Braswell, William Manning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jonah Braswell | 21c | 2,950$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed William Manning | 79c | 1,435$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.41 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked William Manning | 76c | 1,203$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed William Manning | 59c | 896.61$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.61 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Jonah Braswell | 22c | 732.31$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked William Manning | 63c | 705$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.25 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1a…ba0bbacked Jonah Braswell | 42c | 359.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jonah Braswell | 15c | 349.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jonah Braswell | 26c | 347.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Jonah Braswell | 36c | 242.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked William Manning | 61c | 162.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.88 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…09cebacked Jonah Braswell | 39c | 155.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked William Manning | 40c | 146$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Jonah Braswell | 15c | 140.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked William Manning | 57c | 127$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jonah Braswell | 37c | 122.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked William Manning | 65c | 120.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jonah Braswell | 33c | 101.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Jonah Braswell | 36c | 96.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed William Manning | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jonah Braswell | 39c | 78.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed William Manning | 42c | 77.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Jonah Braswell | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Jonah Braswell | 32c | 71.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed William Manning | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jonah Braswell | 41c | 58.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Jonah Braswell | 34c | 57.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked William Manning | 68c | 49.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked William Manning | 62c | 47.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jonah Braswell | 34c | 40.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed William Manning | 66c | 40.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked William Manning | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked William Manning | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed William Manning | 58c | 35.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Jonah Braswell | 31c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked William Manning | 57c | 32.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jonah Braswell | 44c | 22.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed William Manning | 58c | 20.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed William Manning | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked William Manning | 68c | 19.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.