TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x334d…46c1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$4.36
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.76
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$47.47
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.75
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.17
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.68
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.83
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.72
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.52
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$21.51
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$3.28
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.02
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.81
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.83
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$24.02
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$26.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.