TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67ea…468f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Cricket, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 52 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT270%0 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C or higher on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or higher on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.27
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.74
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 55°F or below on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.84
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 2°C or below on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.42
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$20.44
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$35.23
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.48
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Cricket League, Women: Western Australia vs ACT Meteors - Who wins the toss?backed Western Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.