Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44b90cc9d0c832b18aa2539dbd91c8f39b4079d3ef02381f794b43e102d5339f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Camila Osorio, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,570 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 17,997$12,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.03 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Camila Osorio | 32c | 11,302$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Camila Osorio | 14c | 8,999$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.16 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Naomi Osaka | 62c | 8,866$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 6,906$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Camila Osorio | 26c | 5,369$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.95 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Naomi Osaka | 63c | 4,414$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.16 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Naomi Osaka | 61c | 3,777$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.11 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Naomi Osaka | 76c | 3,556$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.48 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Camila Osorio | 34c | 2,610$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.68 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Camila Osorio | 32c | 2,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Camila Osorio | 27c | 1,982$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.66 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Camila Osorio | 36c | 1,749$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.69 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…c2d9backed Naomi Osaka | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Camila Osorio | 37c | 1,412$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.98 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Camila Osorio | 37c | 1,273$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.28 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Camila Osorio | 30c | 1,247$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.65 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Camila Osorio | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 1,089$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Camila Osorio | 33c | 1,007$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.48 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Camila Osorio | 38c | 1,003$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.05 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Camila Osorio | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Camila Osorio | 37c | 924.94$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.51 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Camila Osorio | 35c | 909.53$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.95 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Camila Osorio | 33c | 909.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Camila Osorio | 34c | 800$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Camila Osorio | 39c | 775.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Naomi Osaka | 65c | 757.65$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.65 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Camila Osorio | 35c | 747.2$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Camila Osorio | 36c | 682.37$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Camila Osorio | 26c | 675.79$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 634.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Camila Osorio | 35c | 532.26$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…69d4backed Camila Osorio | 37c | 530.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Camila Osorio | 38c | 523.51$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Camila Osorio | 37c | 519.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…0003backed Camila Osorio | 29c | 513.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Camila Osorio | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Naomi Osaka | 72c | 474.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Camila Osorio | 35c | 429.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.27 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Camila Osorio | 21c | 427.73$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Camila Osorio | 34c | 415.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Camila Osorio | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Naomi Osaka | 64c | 390.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Camila Osorio | 37c | 378$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.08 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Naomi Osaka | 64c | 336.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…5ca6backed Naomi Osaka | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Camila Osorio | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4776…b6d0backed Camila Osorio | 13c | 295.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -66%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Naomi Osaka | 72c | 278.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Camila Osorio | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 251$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Camila Osorio | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Camila Osorio | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…8c85backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 230$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Camila Osorio | 17c | 229.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Camila Osorio | 36c | 206$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Naomi Osaka | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Camila Osorio | 39c | 193.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Camila Osorio | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Camila Osorio | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Naomi Osaka | 69c | 176.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…7466backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 170$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Naomi Osaka | 64c | 167.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…915dbacked Naomi Osaka | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Naomi Osaka | 64c | 156.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Naomi Osaka | 68c | 145.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Camila Osorio | 29c | 144.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Naomi Osaka | 64c | 144.08$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 142.54$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 139.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 131$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5f5abacked Naomi Osaka | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Camila Osorio | 35c | 129$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Camila Osorio | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Naomi Osaka | 75c | 128.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Camila Osorio | 38c | 125.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Camila Osorio | 39c | 122.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Camila Osorio | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Camila Osorio | 40c | 111.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Camila Osorio | 28c | 109.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 109$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Naomi Osaka | 64c | 105.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…4f13backed Naomi Osaka | 79c | 101.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Naomi Osaka | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Camila Osorio | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Naomi Osaka | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Naomi Osaka | 64c | 90.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Naomi Osaka | 70c | 89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Camila Osorio | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Camila Osorio | 32c | 80.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Naomi Osaka | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Naomi Osaka | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Naomi Osaka | 62c | 80.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4f…bfa3backed Naomi Osaka | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Camila Osorio vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Osorio (+1.5)Osorio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.