TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7886…b35e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 51 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rome: Lina Gjorcheska vs Deborah Chiesabacked Deborah Chiesa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$10.87
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$7.33
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$3.96
Sarasota: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Liam Draxlbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.54
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.66
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.69
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Copa Colsanitas: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Julia Rierabacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$51.55
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.28
Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Barletta: Lukas Neumayer vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Bucharest Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.21
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$31.13
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.49
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$19.91
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$24.46
Credit One Charleston Open: Renata Zarazua vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Renata Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.12
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33%+$21.94
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DR Congo leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.66
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Serbia (-1.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$5.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$9.15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$11.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.