TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8052…3464

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
22
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$13.74
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.41
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$28.49
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.11
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.44
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.13
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.32
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.61
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.84
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.47
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$15.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$17.16
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$16.55
All 10 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.