TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5a6…533e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$21.58
Cincinnati Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iva Jovicbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.75
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois Boissonbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.41
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Keninbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.67
Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.76
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.06
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskytebacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Noemi Basilettibacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$185.42
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.03
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.84
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.84
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Kaja Juvanbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.77
Antalya 3: Anhelina Kalinina vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.73
Les Sables d'Olonne: Sofia Costoulas vs Fiona Ferrobacked Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Oeiras 2: Viktoriya Tomova vs Suzan Lamensbacked Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.52
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.89
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$178.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Abacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.