Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00154cd5f40b2af877006033132bdf7484376c7c07c940e827d7cbdfae1f0904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Level UP, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Level UP | 40c | 6,740$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.05 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 3,253$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.68 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 1,240$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.36 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 799.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Level UP | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 699.74$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.89 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 664.66$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.57 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Level UP | 16c | 641.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked Level UP | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 536.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 13c | 534$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Level UP | 55c | 516.54$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Level UP | 16c | 503.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 27c | 414.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 394.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 370$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 329.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 259 | 48.3%125 W · 134 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 316.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 302.81$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.57 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 290.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 290.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 288.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Level UP | 59c | 249.31$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Level UP | 29c | 186.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…ce3bbacked Level UP | 57c | 184.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 176.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed Level UP | 65c | 167.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Level UP | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Level UP | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 143.43$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Level UP | 30c | 128.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 120.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Level UP | 30c | 106.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Level UP | 33c | 104.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 565 | 45%254 W · 311 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Level UP | 27c | 104.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 204 | 21.1%43 W · 161 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 103.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Level UP | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 91.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Level UP | 33c | 91.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Level UP | 32c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Level UP | 34c | 81.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Level UP | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Level UP | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 68.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Level UP | 62c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 224 | 62.1%139 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Level UP | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Level UP | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Level UP | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Level UP | 48c | 41.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 35.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Level UP | 32c | 34.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 33.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 177 | 33.3%59 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 25.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Zero Tenacity | 41c | 24.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 289 | 51.9%150 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Level UP | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…1496backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.