Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b52af3ae1f500c3e933d5f51124c7ccce2e77507428b6eaa1f9a0cc34f57d88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof Level UP, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Level UP | 55c | 8,000$4,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.21 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 7,339$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.73 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Zero Tenacity | 11c | 3,563$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.59 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 1,600$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.36 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Level UP | 76c | 1,454$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.01 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Level UP | 67c | 1,250$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Level UP | 56c | 1,100$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.85 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 849.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.5 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 699.98$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 594.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 421.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Level UP | 62c | 404$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Level UP | 58c | 364.12$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.09 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…2b57backed Level UP | 59c | 341$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Level UP | 77c | 238.41$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Level UP | 68c | 228.47$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Zero Tenacity | 42c | 201$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity | 14c | 191$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 802 | 44.9%360 W · 442 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 72c | 183.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zero Tenacity | 24c | 180.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf034…3a70backed Level UP | 75c | 170.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Level UP | 73c | 152.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Level UP | 58c | 151.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 147$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 473 | 48.2%228 W · 245 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Level UP | 54c | 140$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Level UP | 66c | 137.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Level UP | 77c | 137$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Level UP | 66c | 123.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Zero Tenacity | 11c | 119.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 409 | 33%135 W · 274 L | -36.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 105.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Level UP | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Level UP | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 412 | 46.8%193 W · 219 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zero Tenacity | 30c | 96.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Level UP | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 785 | 41.7%327 W · 458 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Level UP | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 81.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 497 | 32.2%160 W · 337 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Level UP | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 524 | 50.8%266 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Level UP | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Zero Tenacity | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 634 | 47.6%302 W · 332 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 61.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 417 | 39.6%165 W · 252 L | -38.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Level UP | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Level UP | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 436 | 49.1%214 W · 222 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Level UP | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…44a0backed Zero Tenacity | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Level UP | 71c | 45.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Zero Tenacity | 29c | 45.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Level UP | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Level UP | 50c | 40.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Level UP | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 33.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Level UP | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Level UP | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Level UP | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Level UP | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Level UP | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.