Champions League · resolved market
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0115e38ecee72d6ca805b5c2f383618c37eb16efb751c75be8fd65a34ba65511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,300$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.71 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 3,234$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.92 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 2,041$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.75 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,510$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 741.01$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.64 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…ef83backed Yes | 15c | 656.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 621.05$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.94 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 59c | 580.42$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.39 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 580$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 562.11$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 42c | 472.19$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 10c | 467.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 16c | 458.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 12c | 443$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 28c | 431.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 15c | 395$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 60c | 387.83$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.13 | 294 | 45.9%135 W · 159 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 60.7%130 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 40c | 276.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…3e4dbacked Yes | 28c | 248.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 53c | 224$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed No | 61c | 163.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 151.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 74c | 151$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 8c | 150.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 129$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 122 | 19.7%24 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 16c | 116.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…cd3bbacked No | 73c | 108.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 40c | 92.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 41c | 89.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -22.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 20c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 20c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 42c | 67.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 61c | 52.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 52.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +17.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 43c | 41.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9723…393ebacked Yes | 41c | 40.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 41c | 39.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Yes | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 41c | 34.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 57c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 74c | 32.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-07?this page
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-07-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.