Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e98910fd5f1dbfdee1165d2b7d144c7ef6ff720e8f021645bef4df6e154df57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 2,976$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.86 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 53c | 1,505$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.16 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 1,209$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.87 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 30c | 541.15$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.81 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 32c | 510.44$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 509.53$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.89 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 59c | 435.02$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.33 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 394.9$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.53 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 50c | 386.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 55c | 297.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 251.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 53c | 165.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 145.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…6399backed No | 29c | 143.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 44c | 138.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 19c | 133.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.22 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 120.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 68c | 97.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 30c | 95.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…a2a8backed Yes | 68c | 76.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 31c | 69.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 55c | 65.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 30c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 38c | 60.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 47c | 48.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 70c | 44.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-07-07?No won
- Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-07-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.