Champions League · resolved market
Will KÍ win on 2026-07-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0135b9906608b7fc0c9a364883e50f2ee507b934d7ac87ef5bf37c2cbdac0043
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 53c | 2,610$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.12 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 2,252$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.68 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 56c | 2,226$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.08 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 1,441$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.03 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 1,366$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.26 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 1c | 1,231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 42c | 997.95$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.93 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 710.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 45c | 605.33$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.93 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 47c | 502.49$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.17 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 69c | 499.33$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.54 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 70c | 485.87$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 28c | 416.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 32c | 408.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 6c | 399$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 31c | 377$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.07 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 31c | 326.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Yes | 40c | 299.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 290.03$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 251$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 45c | 226.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 31c | 225.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed No | 45c | 206$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 55c | 206$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 37c | 201.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 44c | 198.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 159.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…c5efbacked No | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…2218backed No | 25c | 134.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yes | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 49c | 126.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 64c | 123.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 58c | 121.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 13c | 119.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 33c | 115.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…0396backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 34c | 99.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 299 | 49.5%148 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 44c | 97.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…40b3backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 37c | 81.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 30c | 79.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 38c | 78.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Yes | 37c | 77.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 306 | 56.9%174 W · 132 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 64.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed No | 20c | 62.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 61.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 71c | 58.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 41c | 56.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 64c | 51.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6b36backed Yes | 32c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 29c | 49.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 37c | 43.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 44c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed No | 80c | 28.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 38c | 28.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…5ce9backed No | 62c | 26.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 52c | 26.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 74c | 25.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 76c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 74c | 15.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KÍ win on 2026-07-15?this page
- Will FC Atert Bissen vs. KÍ end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Atert Bissen win on 2026-07-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.