La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x029916cb8ae4f5d2faa24e4a10850e096913b427ccdec0f8c920c54a58408a02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 55c | 21,103$11,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,688.98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 8,576$5,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,018.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 7,041$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.85 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 44c | 3,546$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.02 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 2,852$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.35 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 47c | 2,685$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.73 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 2,497$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.72 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 71c | 2,424$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 783.39$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.45 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 40c | 771.79$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 67c | 755.53$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.77 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 18c | 755.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.42 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 66c | 608.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 42c | 476.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 70c | 439.09$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 18c | 428.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 397.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 33c | 397.51$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.64 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 379.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 66c | 348$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 45c | 337.83$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed No | 58c | 309.03$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 51c | 297.61$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 41c | 255.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes | 44c | 223.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.07 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 39c | 179.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 53c | 167.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 31c | 140$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed No | 71c | 135.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…9413backed Yes | 42c | 128.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 47c | 121.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 47c | 109.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…9ea1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 42c | 94.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 91.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes | 32c | 88.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 41c | 43.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 50c | 40.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 47c | 35.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 44c | 35.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 33.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 45c | 26.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 71c | 24.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 47c | 23.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ce…3e52backed Yes | 66c | 21.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 80c | 18.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 71c | 17.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Real Oviedo vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.