TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan Choinski

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mensikof Mensik, Choinski
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Choinski24c16,745$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.2480938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mensik68c9,189$6,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.631,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mensik74c6,619$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.9165959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Choinski18c6,212$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.0855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Choinski32c5,682$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.8381349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Choinski26c4,366$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.062,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Mensik72c4,315$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,19994355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Choinski31c4,240$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mensik70c3,910$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.331,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mensik72c3,642$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.593,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mensik70c3,568$2,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.4297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mensik80c3,081$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.768,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Choinski27c2,795$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.819134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Mensik71c2,609$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.2999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Choinski41c2,425$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.3828444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mensik72c2,384$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.7965647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Choinski30c2,309$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.826847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mensik55c2,198$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.286,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed Mensik80c2,020$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4044667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Choinski19c1,775$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.71,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Choinski24c1,496$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.932,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Choinski15c1,463$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.691,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Choinski27c1,458$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.492,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Mensik67c1,313$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.534461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xab15…ab10backed Mensik60c1,277$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Choinski14c1,126$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.851540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mensik76c1,068$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.742,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Choinski22c1,017$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22411417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Choinski20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.97037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Choinski46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Mensik74c936.28$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4310943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Choinski16c905.14$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.324837.1%92 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Choinski14c738.44$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.381,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Mensik70c697$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7549143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a51…d812backed Mensik68c674.54$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.541258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf475…f2debacked Mensik77c652.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.821464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Mensik56c625.18$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1846553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Choinski50c582.76$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29241645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Choinski21c575.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.124826.2%65 W · 183 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Choinski15c571.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7642141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c8…f2d8backed Choinski16c545.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.337632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Choinski19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Mensik80c487.5$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2514663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Mensik67c457.31$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9123554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Mensik54c388.89$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8939431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Mensik77c388.65$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3913052.3%68 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Mensik77c387.46$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.126969.6%48 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Mensik54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3738739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Choinski15c368.36$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.254,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Mensik56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1429553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Mensik67c355.2$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3617462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Mensik80c347.6$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5211054.5%60 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Choinski24c316.84$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1690854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Mensik66c304.47$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.473778.4%29 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Choinski26c300.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.558848.9%43 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Mensik71c287.14$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.272,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Choinski36c280.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Mensik78c280$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.629661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Choinski26c270$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.230845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Mensik77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7447946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Choinski15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.512450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Choinski24c245.57$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.145745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Choinski23c240.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.961,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Mensik80c230$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Choinski36c228.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.083357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Mensik66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2749943.1%215 W · 284 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Choinski53c223.4$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.447057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Mensik73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.487462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Mensik63c203.61$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.739248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Choinski15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f17…9ab3backed Mensik68c197.19$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.198666.3%57 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Choinski22c195.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.586,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Choinski22c192.68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.399749.5%48 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f25…442cbacked Mensik80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.55928.8%17 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Choinski16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Mensik44c183.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.613134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Choinski55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mensik79c175.88$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7988455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Mensik70c172.24$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.351,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Choinski33c168.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.937,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Mensik62c162.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.039543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d8…1496backed Mensik67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Mensik62c146.73$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7615363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Choinski15c138.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Mensik80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Mensik77c118.38$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3325556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Mensik63c118$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6693048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Choinski25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Mensik76c108.69$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0929063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…4dd4backed Mensik70c106.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.674445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Choinski13c100.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4128424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Mensik53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4732050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Choinski13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.33423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Mensik53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4717840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Mensik70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3024060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Choinski14c99.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Choinski25c94.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.383,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Mensik57c89.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5935944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeba…7a91backed Choinski30c83.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Mensik78c81.43$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2311547%54 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.