CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031d3f1c619df2d8196b3459a5993a501e82d50794ba32a2c41009e004a28cd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 19c | 1,513$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Over | 49c | 1,322$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.38 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…d27cbacked Under | 36c | 1,253$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.95 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Over | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 49c | 1,145$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.45 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 75c | 1,067$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.92 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 41c | 846.75$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.63 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 60c | 824.3$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.41 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 555$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 76c | 410.81$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 50c | 288$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.44 | 451 | 38.4%173 W · 278 L | -29.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 237.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed Under | 53c | 234.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 49c | 233$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 225.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 39c | 222.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 212.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 51c | 175$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…026ebacked Under | 52c | 145.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Under | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 124.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 61c | 124.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 64c | 104$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 52c | 73.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed Under | 43c | 67.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…6bd7backed Under | 36c | 41.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…72f5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…c6c2backed Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 37c | 30.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 490 | 41.8%205 W · 285 L | -18.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…e453backed Over | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebd…6dc0backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 137 | 67.9%93 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 498 | 56.6%282 W · 216 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Under | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1TYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.