Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03794c39cf9d674e5bc828771f3cf33ea9c55647b15187d759d3d7883a3ecc87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Aurora | 1c | 11,324$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…f388backed Aurora | 27c | 6,449$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 8c | 4,741$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.78 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 2,741$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.79 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 14c | 2,648$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.58 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Aurora | 6c | 2,411$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Aurora | 19c | 2,159$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.58 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Aurora | 3c | 1,830$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Aurora | 10c | 1,020$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Aurora | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Aurora | 17c | 927.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Aurora | 5c | 913.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora | 14c | 865$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Aurora | 8c | 799.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…e051backed Aurora | 3c | 719.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Aurora | 13c | 642.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Aurora | 5c | 624.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora | 6c | 619.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Aurora | 8c | 599.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 588.1$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked BetBoom Team | 79c | 580.98$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Aurora | 8c | 539.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Aurora | 9c | 465.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 454.06$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Aurora | 9c | 449.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 383.75$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Aurora | 13c | 335.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Aurora | 12c | 328.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…7dc1backed Aurora | 9c | 288.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…3ba2backed Aurora | 7c | 276.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Aurora | 12c | 258.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 11c | 254.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…a811backed Aurora | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Aurora | 20c | 206.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Aurora | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Aurora | 9c | 189.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora | 17c | 188.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…3639backed Aurora | 19c | 171.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Aurora | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Aurora | 20c | 151.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed BetBoom Team | 74c | 142.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed BetBoom Team | 80c | 140.14$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…8f60backed Aurora | 13c | 138.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…5211backed Aurora | 15c | 134.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Aurora | 14c | 125.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Aurora | 16c | 125.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Aurora | 15c | 121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora | 20c | 102.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…cf6cbacked Aurora | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 91.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 63.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed BetBoom Team | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 31.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed BetBoom Team | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerAurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Series: BetBoom Team Kill Handicap (-25.5)BetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.