MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03c22c0db3bf28a2af8fa8f3a71de020d5085d09f7c6d8e982932a005afb6fb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Detroit Tigers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 40c | 1,216$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 1,172$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.6 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 596.49$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 596.49$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 295.03$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Detroit Tigers | 18c | 274.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 263$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 225$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 217.21$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 184.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels | 71c | 117.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 107.83$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Detroit Tigers | 21c | 49.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c5b9backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 35.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8d…d241backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +40%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 25.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 21.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.