MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ebb869e8eca2319d6db8d50da99d8c0fca44c8f43a62baf6e6beaf10e21ade5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 48c | 11,857$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,691.55 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 4,550$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.24 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 2,783$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.84 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,748$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 961$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 590$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.86 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 488.44$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 459.83$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 451$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 52c | 390$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 54c | 297$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 291.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 54c | 219$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 56c | 189$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 77c | 186.78$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 56c | 140$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 139.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 54c | 125.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 124.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 52c | 116.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.7 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 47c | 102.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 90.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 54c | 48.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 44c | 45.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…2a3bbacked Over | 46c | 43.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Over | 49c | 42.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 52c | 39.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 68c | 31.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 37c | 31.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…d5afbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 45c | 24.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 48c | 24.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 56c | 23.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d5…1ca9backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 61c | 17.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will the game go to extra innings?: Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.