TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Diamondbacks62c10,080$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,830.425453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies38c8,200$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1161,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies2c5,169$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Rockies38c4,999$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.5634245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies10c3,827$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.899,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rockies4c3,650$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14845732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Diamondbacks62c3,063$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.0424040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies6c3,005$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.112,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rockies40c2,527$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies6c2,389$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3254345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59aa…589dbacked Rockies39c2,307$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9920…93bcbacked Rockies39c2,215$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c47…45b6backed Rockies38c1,900$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbea2…41f2backed Diamondbacks62c1,800$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdec…a6bcbacked Diamondbacks62c1,700$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies38c1,650$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.9756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks60c1,640$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.042,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc624…106abacked Rockies39c1,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.151662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd06…73a2backed Rockies38c1,600$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks68c1,596$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.1243949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies38c1,580$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.41,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…0e7abacked Diamondbacks61c1,530$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa887…363bbacked Diamondbacks61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2558…dfcbbacked Diamondbacks61c1,491$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Rockies8c1,460$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6632754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies9c1,367$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c8…4072backed Rockies38c1,237$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.06633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c8…5efebacked Diamondbacks62c1,100$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1b5…fe69backed Rockies39c1,003$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.1770%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Rockies38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3674…77d5backed Rockies38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33cc…66a1backed Rockies38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks62c999.97$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.9988549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rockies38c999.89$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9630850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Diamondbacks62c999.77$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.917651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f77…fdb8backed Rockies11c990$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042516%4 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c7…04d7backed Diamondbacks61c985$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fb…1d77backed Diamondbacks61c965$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681f…e1f3backed Rockies39c947$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Rockies1c906.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ef…5d6bbacked Diamondbacks62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Diamondbacks62c887.1$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rockies12c852.08$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8773149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies2c727.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.215053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Rockies39c726.47$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2868852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies28c723.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies20c662.24$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6527213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4c…e162backed Diamondbacks62c645$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1281…8cfabacked Diamondbacks62c592$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Diamondbacks71c547.58$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5621753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies23c541.31$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Diamondbacks75c531.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5739160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks62c481.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.891,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rockies12c458.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Rockies40c456.48$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5916654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Diamondbacks79c424.49$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4417866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Diamondbacks61c406$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3435952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies32c405$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.580680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Rockies40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rockies39c334$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.261,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks61c326.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.481,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Rockies38c311.88$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5140152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbd…32d3backed Diamondbacks62c309.82$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.732470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies37c307.82$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.891,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Rockies40c302.56$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11434051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Diamondbacks62c290.32$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.326144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Diamondbacks62c274.23$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.214161%25 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies38c263.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Rockies39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Diamondbacks61c255.74$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7425954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks62c253.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2439…f97fbacked Rockies39c225.65$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Diamondbacks63c222.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.333240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Diamondbacks60c199.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9918249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Rockies38c195.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1412025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Diamondbacks62c193.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.558052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fe…d038backed Rockies39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Diamondbacks61c174.56$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.563677.8%28 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Rockies40c167.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Diamondbacks62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2912459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4628…5ea0backed Rockies39c154.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.213151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500a…6269backed Rockies39c151.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies40c143.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5731244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8564…3f7dbacked Diamondbacks61c142.62$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b2…3212backed Rockies39c141.02$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e1…ad39backed Diamondbacks61c136.07$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.07850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks79c127.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.354,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks61c127.58$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockies38c126.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbea…259bbacked Diamondbacks61c126.22$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+61.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Rockies24c124.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7923938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Diamondbacks61c111$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2924351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef0…1282backed Diamondbacks61c104.92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.921752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c8…8fbabacked Diamondbacks61c103.27$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.