Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Panevėžys win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05294d975e6c893ec342066e18ed8ebe4f82cd09254b7ada3b3a366e1cf03b8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 57c | 10,381$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,924.08 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 41c | 4,099$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.14 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 62c | 3,374$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.77 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 57c | 2,073$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.75 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 42c | 1,981$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.14 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 43c | 1,679$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.37 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 59c | 1,488$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.55 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 58c | 1,274$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.02 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 1,035$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.87 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 33c | 927.56$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.01 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 25c | 830.4$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed No | 67c | 713.7$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +187.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 58c | 405.78$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.53 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Yes | 22c | 371.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…881ebacked No | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 80c | 247.14$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 53c | 189.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 182.09$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 28c | 166$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 159.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…4f6ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…1673backed No | 59c | 135.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 54c | 128.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 73c | 126$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 55c | 120.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 35c | 116$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 91.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 36c | 90.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 49c | 88.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Yes | 15c | 86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 53c | 82.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 82.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 76.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 76.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 70.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 33c | 69.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 26c | 54.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 58c | 40.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Yes | 50c | 33.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 62c | 31.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Yes | 62c | 31.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 53c | 31.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 63c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 53c | 28.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 24.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8a…189fbacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 72c | 17.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Panevėžys win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FK Panevėžys vs. Tobyl FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.