Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Katherine Sebov vs Cadence Brace
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05b3b77026b10c7a2fd594f3e371b27c324ff7d77ea591dda7e9a935c27c8dea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katherine Sebovof Katherine Sebov, Cadence Brace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cadence Brace | 16c | 39,547$6,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,181.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Katherine Sebov | 58c | 15,524$8,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,580.3 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Cadence Brace | 62c | 6,000$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.34 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Katherine Sebov | 75c | 3,500$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Katherine Sebov | 47c | 3,273$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.36 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cadence Brace | 43c | 2,829$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.96 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cadence Brace | 37c | 2,639$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.51 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Katherine Sebov | 57c | 2,089$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.36 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Katherine Sebov | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cadence Brace | 52c | 1,253$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.54 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Katherine Sebov | 48c | 1,200$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.26 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Katherine Sebov | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Cadence Brace | 16c | 779.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Katherine Sebov | 39c | 766$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.26 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Cadence Brace | 6c | 414.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Katherine Sebov | 47c | 393.87$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Katherine Sebov | 62c | 314$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Cadence Brace | 45c | 265.6$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Cadence Brace | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Cadence Brace | 27c | 216$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Cadence Brace | 15c | 205.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…e72fbacked Cadence Brace | 26c | 195.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katherine Sebov | 59c | 183.12$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Katherine Sebov | 43c | 164.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.94 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Katherine Sebov | 49c | 153.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cadence Brace | 52c | 138.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Katherine Sebov | 48c | 135.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.23 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…d4ffbacked Cadence Brace | 17c | 132.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…2ac6backed Katherine Sebov | 80c | 125.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cadence Brace | 43c | 117.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Katherine Sebov | 74c | 110.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Cadence Brace | 27c | 109.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Katherine Sebov | 40c | 105.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Katherine Sebov | 48c | 103.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Katherine Sebov | 49c | 102.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cadence Brace | 51c | 100.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Cadence Brace | 31c | 85.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Cadence Brace | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Cadence Brace | 39c | 80.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Cadence Brace | 43c | 59.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Katherine Sebov | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Cadence Brace | 37c | 58.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Cadence Brace | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Katherine Sebov | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Cadence Brace | 39c | 44.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Katherine Sebov | 37c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Cadence Brace | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Cadence Brace | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Katherine Sebov | 46c | 37.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Katherine Sebov | 49c | 33.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Katherine Sebov | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Katherine Sebov | 67c | 31.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Cadence Brace | 52c | 28.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Katherine Sebov | 39c | 27.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Katherine Sebov | 47c | 25.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Katherine Sebov | 48c | 24.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Katherine Sebov | 47c | 23.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Cadence Brace | 44c | 22.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Cadence Brace | 51c | 20.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Cadence Brace | 52c | 19.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Katherine Sebov | 74c | 14.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.