Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0643ee89618e6ab168682895af38735cf157a35828d0e9dadb6385ebdd8a6946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 23c | 3,122$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.87 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 30c | 1,447$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.56 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 69c | 1,304$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.3 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 46c | 1,228$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.71 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 25c | 1,007$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.33 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed No | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.39per pick | 20cpaid | +200.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 72c | 906.84$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.04 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 905.56$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.91 | 3,247 | 42.2%1,370 W · 1,877 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 799.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 412 | 45.6%188 W · 224 L | +25.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 79c | 752.38$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.38 | 725 | 50.2%364 W · 361 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 12c | 499$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 77c | 444$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.88 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 23c | 380$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +19.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 22c | 261.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 27c | 248.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 78c | 229$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.62 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 24c | 225.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.92 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 45c | 215.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 28c | 213.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.75 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…7800backed Yes | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 54c | 205.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…4d23backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 75c | 166.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 162.97$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,222 | 45.3%553 W · 669 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 80c | 107.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 25c | 99.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes | 72c | 85.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 22c | 74.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -25.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 79c | 72.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 56.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 851 | 42%357 W · 494 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 22c | 51.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 78c | 46.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 51c | 45.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 27c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 344 | 49.1%169 W · 175 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 78c | 40.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Yes | 58c | 38.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 72c | 32.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 59c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 25.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 55c | 23.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yes | 69c | 19.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-08-27?No won
- Will Páfos FC vs. FC Dinamo City end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.