Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06fa77f98127f76fa86c666c67c176a81aa1f96a44ad00bbb43bb73c24eab08a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 33c | 1,005$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.97 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 58c | 953.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.23 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 23c | 857.68$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.22 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 64c | 676.01$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.1 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 601.16$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.93 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 45c | 600.39$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.22 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 28c | 466.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 25c | 439.69$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.79 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 77c | 439.3$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.26 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 71c | 402.86$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 62c | 376.96$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 65c | 317.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.3 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 32c | 311.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.81 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 7c | 279.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 75c | 265.8$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 29c | 263.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.23 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked No | 5c | 252.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 71c | 249.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…ce7abacked Yes | 19c | 241.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +425%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 233.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 80c | 198.19$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 8c | 180.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 31c | 179.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 22c | 164.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 28c | 155$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 26c | 153.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 63c | 153.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 20c | 145.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…9ecfbacked No | 8c | 140.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 34c | 135.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 24c | 128.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 22c | 122.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 21c | 122.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 42c | 118.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…76a4backed Yes | 57c | 117.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 110.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 31c | 100.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4808…5309backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +251.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 38c | 98.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 79c | 97.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…4fd0backed No | 77c | 94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -10.5wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 23c | 92.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…c493backed No | 68c | 92.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…af53backed Yes | 21c | 90.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 21c | 88.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 42c | 88.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed No | 66c | 84.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked No | 64c | 74.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 73.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 78c | 71.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 79c | 69.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…e423backed Yes | 43c | 69.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 73c | 68.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 70c | 66.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 80c | 60.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 66c | 56.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…9f16backed No | 77c | 53.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 23c | 51.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 78c | 51.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…8c67backed Yes | 41c | 49.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 39c | 46.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 22c | 44.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 69c | 43.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 37c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed Yes | 29c | 41.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…3d73backed Yes | 30c | 38.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 69c | 37.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 30c | 35.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…c34fbacked No | 70c | 35.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…7bb4backed No | 79c | 34.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…ec0bbacked No | 41c | 33.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 48c | 30.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x892c…2605backed No | 64c | 29.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 71c | 29.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…71d7backed No | 71c | 29.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 333 | 73%243 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 65c | 28.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 42c | 28.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed No | 78c | 27.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…f237backed No | 71c | 25.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 79c | 25.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 73c | 24.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…91f8backed No | 80c | 23.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 59c | 23.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 76c | 22.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7c…19d5backed No | 63c | 21.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…2227backed No | 78c | 20.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 79c | 19.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 79c | 17.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.