South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0749d3c3e2adf3b8e8b28ed13b445f39b2e1ef2d15fd219aa0733abccd7afd9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 5c | 16,395$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.15 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 62c | 7,500$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 63c | 6,791$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.7 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 62c | 3,070$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.38 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 65c | 2,045$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.75 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 1,107$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.19 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 35c | 1,061$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.4 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 5c | 1,020$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 37c | 991.18$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.74 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 975.77$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.57 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 876.87$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.02 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 35c | 780.06$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 38c | 526.16$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.57 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 37c | 475$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 64c | 454.38$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 35c | 420.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…b9efbacked Yes | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 65c | 336$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 37c | 312.83$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 310.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 35c | 306.42$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 64c | 301.92$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 63c | 285$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…40fcbacked Yes | 66c | 270.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 38c | 266.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 5c | 250.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 7c | 227.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 34c | 169.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 38c | 143.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 37c | 95.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 37c | 91.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 63c | 91.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…1297backed Yes | 62c | 79.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 77.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 38c | 68.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed No | 39c | 67.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 39c | 47.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 61c | 44.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 36c | 44.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 78c | 43.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 64c | 42.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 63c | 37.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 36c | 32.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Yes | 62c | 30.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…9501backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 37c | 28.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 39c | 26.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 67c | 26.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Yes | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed Yes | 64c | 22.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 62c | 22.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…e224backed Yes | 77c | 21.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 65c | 21.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 65c | 21.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CF Monterrey vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.