TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Hawks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,105

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x25cc…9297backed Spurs49c14,725$7,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,485.3816942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Spurs69c12,049$8,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.3411459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b2b…2df0backed Hawks51c10,005$5,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,102.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa57a…b574backed Spurs49c10,003$4,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,101.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…db27backed Hawks51c10,002$5,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,100.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e8…c2d6backed Spurs49c9,968$4,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,083.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe35a…d709backed Spurs52c9,646$5,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,630.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+131.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a04…2375backed Spurs54c9,200$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19db…e24cbacked Hawks56c8,101$4,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc7…40d7backed Spurs54c7,149$3,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,292.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5733…d840backed Hawks49c6,867$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs56c6,393$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.9361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf24…5aa8backed Hawks48c6,325$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,035.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf70e…8759backed Hawks49c5,868$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs48c5,083$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.161,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Hawks46c5,078$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.422725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Hawks40c4,997$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks46c4,911$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.0877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Spurs43c4,876$2,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,785.2719137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks62c4,721$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.2549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks46c3,834$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Spurs50c3,536$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.621,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a68…f88abacked Hawks48c3,200$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks51c2,659$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.0765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spurs40c2,629$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.8170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Hawks43c2,459$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.798246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs56c2,331$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.983,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Hawks47c2,312$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.3210236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Hawks41c2,223$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.3925939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9937954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Hawks39c1,959$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.3263555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Spurs38c1,934$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.3429661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Spurs70c1,921$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.726547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks48c1,748$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.8873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Hawks66c1,524$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks48c1,510$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.71,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Spurs75c1,492$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9129738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Spurs42c1,484$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.484344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Hawks28c1,434$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.394526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Spurs52c1,412$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.8528063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…b4debacked Hawks7c1,200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb4…0081backed Spurs42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6967100%7 W · 0 L+3.9wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+144%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbb5…b6b6backed Hawks58c1,200$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6961216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec74…05f6backed Spurs44c1,150$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6441323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be3…abcdbacked Hawks56c1,150$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks55c1,122$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.0561345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ce…e250backed Spurs50c1,037$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.371233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Spurs46c1,033$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.4375347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f5…1c1abacked Hawks50c1,030$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks48c1,000$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.161,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Hawks26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Hawks47c995.48$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8717243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f9…3c97backed Hawks48c993.75$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Spurs52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hawks3c954$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.331,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Spurs53c941.27$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.95330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Spurs54c922.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.633826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Spurs52c897.01$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.5633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hawks50c894.78$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.9329043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Hawks38c892.9$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.327731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Hawks49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40047357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Spurs52c815.63$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.513857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Spurs52c773.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9448137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Hawks47c764$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+139.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5311…512ebacked Spurs49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Spurs49c684.48$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5714941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs52c652.32$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.441,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Hawks70c600.58$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4912651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Hawks63c595.06$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.4625957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd42…3d0cbacked Spurs53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.042,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Hawks36c551.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61e1…adf1backed Spurs43c547.99$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.997548%36 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x078f…f260backed Hawks48c547.92$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs52c504.99$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…e82ebacked Hawks46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfda5…9bdabacked Hawks40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002540%10 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73f4…9176backed Spurs55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Spurs52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24029148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Spurs47c499.96$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9811146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0277…e6a7backed Spurs49c499.93$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Spurs52c493.06$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.241770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Hawks54c489.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8725651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef03…e4babacked Spurs54c452$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.922864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f4e…d0e9backed Hawks53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.560%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe038…36b0backed Spurs47c450$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb8b…425cbacked Spurs57c429.93$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.982369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs49c421.56$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68a…0e4abacked Spurs53c415.09$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4369…8525backed Hawks46c410.02$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa747…c45abacked Spurs54c410$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c5…4fa3backed Spurs50c404$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2044337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb06d…77fdbacked Spurs54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+160.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x586a…d51ebacked Hawks46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Spurs49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x899a…a312backed Spurs54c390$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9b…a9abbacked Hawks46c390$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x957b…053fbacked Spurs54c388$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1662…8679backed Hawks46c388$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Hawks47c381.62$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3611662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.