TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
4ikibamboniof Power Rangers, 4ikibamboni
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed 4ikibamboni48c11,498$5,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,924.0847646.4%221 W · 255 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked 4ikibamboni51c4,827$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.91,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Power Rangers50c4,597$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.2395342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked 4ikibamboni47c4,588$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.6380256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed Power Rangers51c4,350$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.111637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Power Rangers3c3,840$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.270%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59f…0d08backed 4ikibamboni50c3,824$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.1921155.5%117 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Power Rangers15c3,507$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.391,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Power Rangers54c2,975$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.2820767.1%139 W · 68 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Power Rangers51c2,441$1,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.8750850.8%258 W · 250 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Power Rangers53c2,305$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.3989741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers50c1,662$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.112,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Power Rangers44c1,594$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.548057.1%274 W · 206 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Power Rangers53c1,306$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.836440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers40c1,245$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.582,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Power Rangers46c1,226$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.3734442.2%145 W · 199 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Power Rangers51c1,175$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.2526540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 4ikibamboni46c953.46$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.921,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ee…01aebacked Power Rangers53c941$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.76744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Power Rangers42c933.25$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.751,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked 4ikibamboni54c905.4$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.4879859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Power Rangers51c888$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8810961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers28c701.9$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.791,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked 4ikibamboni50c691.12$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2632549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf34b…bcb3backed 4ikibamboni47c652.5$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.858356.8%331 W · 252 L+28.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Power Rangers45c600$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x08b8…e7dabacked 4ikibamboni45c599.98$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9931055.2%171 W · 139 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked 4ikibamboni49c522.18$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3861456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Power Rangers51c505$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9228549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Power Rangers49c495$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2947548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Power Rangers42c440.69$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0920442.2%86 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed 4ikibamboni47c426.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1624244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Power Rangers51c401.96$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20541037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed Power Rangers51c394.43$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed 4ikibamboni48c364.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.841455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Power Rangers28c340.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.042825%7 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed 4ikibamboni60c335.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2246049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ec9…1873backed Power Rangers29c310$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.719839.4%78 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Power Rangers31c300$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9296245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked Power Rangers51c295$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.454647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Power Rangers51c294$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.818444%37 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked 4ikibamboni41c267$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.339242.4%39 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed Power Rangers49c255.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9610933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed Power Rangers51c217.65$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed 4ikibamboni49c206.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5725359.3%150 W · 103 L+15.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked 4ikibamboni50c205.83$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6111758.1%68 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed 4ikibamboni48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10416256.8%92 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Power Rangers39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0731052.6%163 W · 147 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb4…5db6backed 4ikibamboni68c199.96$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.87560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Power Rangers30c191.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.528336.4%103 W · 180 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Power Rangers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed 4ikibamboni54c183.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3328252.5%148 W · 134 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Power Rangers57c182.29$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5828544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed 4ikibamboni70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4831865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Power Rangers51c152.94$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785238.5%20 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Power Rangers55c148.64$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7148054%259 W · 221 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed 4ikibamboni42c141.59$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.597236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Power Rangers52c139.81$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.558040%32 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked 4ikibamboni51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2554648.5%265 W · 281 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Power Rangers58c135.2$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.241,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Power Rangers38c131.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023529.4%69 W · 166 L-21.5wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a40…f518backed Power Rangers40c127.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5115437%57 W · 97 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Power Rangers20c122.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd54a…1223backed Power Rangers36c120.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb085…7b10backed 4ikibamboni50c118.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.133756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Power Rangers41c117$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9759254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b34…e95dbacked Power Rangers28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.85131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Power Rangers37c109.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.591,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Power Rangers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508042.5%34 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Power Rangers40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed 4ikibamboni50c95.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7981345.1%367 W · 446 L-26.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed Power Rangers53c89.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.54621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-55%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed Power Rangers45c83.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0142660.1%256 W · 170 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Power Rangers60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485964.4%38 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa92c…ce44backed 4ikibamboni62c79.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.941850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Power Rangers52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Power Rangers53c76.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4857449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Power Rangers53c76.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6326958.7%158 W · 111 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Power Rangers55c60.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.166762.7%42 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed 4ikibamboni50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018356.8%104 W · 79 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Power Rangers42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.213259.1%78 W · 54 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x812e…6f3cbacked Power Rangers64c56$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.841662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed Power Rangers39c55.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8911946.2%55 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Power Rangers49c53.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3840442.3%171 W · 233 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ca…a3dfbacked Power Rangers43c51.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.082619.2%5 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-53.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed Power Rangers40c50.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe489…8804backed 4ikibamboni55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.514349%70 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Power Rangers42c44.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6591553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2b…9e83backed 4ikibamboni65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.218446.7%86 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc5…4e0cbacked Power Rangers42c38.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked 4ikibamboni58c35.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8514963.1%94 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22a…2a00backed Power Rangers53c31.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.823050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476e…00a9backed 4ikibamboni73c29.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.092055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked 4ikibamboni77c27.27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2717660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f2…ed3fbacked 4ikibamboni67c24.96$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.161040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb09f…6382backed Power Rangers45c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.355347.2%25 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Power Rangers55c22.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4238244.5%170 W · 212 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked 4ikibamboni50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa530…88f6backed 4ikibamboni68c16.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23762.2%23 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db9…95ebbacked 4ikibamboni63c16.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.872133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.