Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d8bf9a152981360eaecfd84638353131f4cef38d707e1f3079274724ad070e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Julia Avdeevaof Julia Avdeeva, Eva Vedder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eva Vedder | 63c | 8,577$5,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,432.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Julia Avdeeva | 30c | 3,032$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.33 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…abc0backed Julia Avdeeva | 41c | 1,884$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Julia Avdeeva | 42c | 1,740$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.29 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Eva Vedder | 71c | 1,273$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.05 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Julia Avdeeva | 40c | 1,259$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.1 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Julia Avdeeva | 32c | 1,082$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.97 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julia Avdeeva | 42c | 1,035$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Julia Avdeeva | 42c | 1,030$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.47 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Julia Avdeeva | 31c | 1,025$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.09 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 28c | 1,000$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.03 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eva Vedder | 60c | 910.53$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.99 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Eva Vedder | 67c | 884.54$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.17 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Julia Avdeeva | 23c | 849.22$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.95 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Julia Avdeeva | 49c | 811.5$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.56 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eva Vedder | 57c | 776.04$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.68 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Julia Avdeeva | 28c | 714.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Eva Vedder | 69c | 700.57$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.04 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Eva Vedder | 77c | 684.46$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Julia Avdeeva | 33c | 596$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.3 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Julia Avdeeva | 53c | 460.27$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Eva Vedder | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Julia Avdeeva | 51c | 450$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Julia Avdeeva | 41c | 436.49$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.53 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Eva Vedder | 47c | 404.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Julia Avdeeva | 42c | 374.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eva Vedder | 73c | 366.94$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.38 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eva Vedder | 63c | 305.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eva Vedder | 63c | 301.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Julia Avdeeva | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.37 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Julia Avdeeva | 33c | 276.81$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Julia Avdeeva | 36c | 189.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Julia Avdeeva | 48c | 178.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eva Vedder | 58c | 163.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd838…96ccbacked Julia Avdeeva | 40c | 145$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 43c | 135.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Julia Avdeeva | 25c | 132.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Julia Avdeeva | 42c | 124.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eva Vedder | 52c | 121.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Julia Avdeeva | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…4d93backed Julia Avdeeva | 37c | 113.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Julia Avdeeva | 48c | 113.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Julia Avdeeva | 31c | 112.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eva Vedder | 69c | 101.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eva Vedder | 62c | 100.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Julia Avdeeva | 30c | 98.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Julia Avdeeva | 24c | 92.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Eva Vedder | 52c | 91.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Eva Vedder | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Eva Vedder | 77c | 73.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Julia Avdeeva | 38c | 65.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Julia Avdeeva | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Julia Avdeeva | 64c | 56.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Eva Vedder | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Julia Avdeeva | 38c | 51.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Eva Vedder | 58c | 47.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Julia Avdeeva | 27c | 46.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Eva Vedder | 65c | 44.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…af22backed Eva Vedder | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -9.1wins | -0.25per pick | 70cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed Eva Vedder | 79c | 30.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Eva Vedder | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…5ff8backed Julia Avdeeva | 38c | 29.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Eva Vedder | 58c | 28.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Eva Vedder | 58c | 28.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Eva Vedder | 58c | 28.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Julia Avdeeva | 51c | 28.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eva Vedder | 58c | 27.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Julia Avdeeva | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Julia Avdeeva | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Eva Vedder | 57c | 24.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Eva Vedder | 59c | 23.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Eva Vedder | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Julia Avdeeva | 52c | 20.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Julia Avdeeva | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…567cbacked Eva Vedder | 67c | 17.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Eva Vedder | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedderthis page
- Set Handicap: Avdeeva (-1.5) vs Vedder (+1.5)Vedder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.