Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pepperdine Waves vs. Seattle Redhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b323324cca3539f4a23ebecdfbadcc81afdc2023cf4596d01e3bc7a86225c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof Pepperdine Waves, Seattle Redhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 10c | 11,118$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.84 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 50c | 1,900$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.3 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pepperdine Waves | 57c | 1,590$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.7 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc76…370ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 60c | 1,572$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Pepperdine Waves | 26c | 1,300$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.28 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 10c | 1,203$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Seattle Redhawks | 47c | 1,182$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.44 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pepperdine Waves | 74c | 1,016$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.29 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Pepperdine Waves | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Redhawks | 66c | 840.07$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.89 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Pepperdine Waves | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Pepperdine Waves | 25c | 725.44$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 39c | 690.03$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.95 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 606.78$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pepperdine Waves | 10c | 569$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 510.13$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.78 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pepperdine Waves | 11c | 487$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…8275backed Pepperdine Waves | 23c | 435.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Seattle Redhawks | 42c | 427$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pepperdine Waves | 45c | 412.36$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Seattle Redhawks | 67c | 410.28$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.18 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 391.24$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Pepperdine Waves | 14c | 381.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pepperdine Waves | 12c | 351.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Pepperdine Waves | 12c | 344$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Pepperdine Waves | 29c | 282.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Seattle Redhawks | 76c | 240.83$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Pepperdine Waves | 11c | 214.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff2…b6ecbacked Pepperdine Waves | 17c | 161.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 16c | 156.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Pepperdine Waves | 12c | 154.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks | 58c | 141.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pepperdine Waves | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 134$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Seattle Redhawks | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Seattle Redhawks | 49c | 127.34$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Seattle Redhawks | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Redhawks | 55c | 110.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Pepperdine Waves | 10c | 108.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pepperdine Waves | 33c | 80.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Seattle Redhawks | 46c | 75.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…0733backed Seattle Redhawks | 64c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Seattle Redhawks | 52c | 50.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Pepperdine Waves | 22c | 47.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Seattle Redhawks | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 34c | 41.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Pepperdine Waves | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Seattle Redhawks | 74c | 28.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Seattle Redhawks | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.