TailMyPicks
Market

Mls · resolved market

Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes39c24,915$9,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,788.8853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No59c17,754$10,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,228.741662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No60c5,734$3,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.7213553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c4,018$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.23,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes13c3,166$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.691010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-81.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No61c3,037$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.51,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes35c2,966$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.936732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes40c2,892$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.82650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c2,231$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.31,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes35c1,799$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.011,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No59c1,600$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65617258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes15c1,591$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.585042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No75c1,565$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c1,540$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.8397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes39c1,235$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.71758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No80c1,216$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49212263.1%77 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c1,200$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.0668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No61c1,195$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed No62c999.99$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes9c982.69$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.446222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No66c885$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.923858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes30c881.24$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.0758043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28712661.1%77 W · 49 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes38c632.56$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.3721547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24615858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x077f…ca20backed Yes36c587.64$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.551735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No65c577.38$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.088547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes19c511.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.113522.9%8 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010450%52 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes30c444.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1913518.5%25 W · 110 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed No65c421.81$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes28c334.79$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5610319.4%20 W · 83 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ca…c93abacked Yes15c310.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232544%11 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No61c266.93$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2420249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes27c260$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.624326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No60c241.42$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.076248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.410853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No59c203.72$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7113158.8%77 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8216960.9%103 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8214257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No64c195$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes40c192.8$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes16c183.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.412142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No59c180$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.815060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No63c180$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No68c173.7$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.582646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+512.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes36c169.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.439858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes22c164$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8137249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x673c…d452backed No65c161.57$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.611759%69 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.612162%75 W · 46 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No61c150.26$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.68065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No61c148.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5710757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes40c119.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No65c116.8$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8812849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes13c112.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6320535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes39c111.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.355354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked Yes36c106.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No62c101$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8880358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes39c100.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0519560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4114660.3%88 W · 58 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4114459.7%86 W · 58 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes38c96.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.592560%15 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Yes14c88.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.741850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes36c80.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.854050%20 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes39c78.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.794845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x688c…2482backed No62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes38c78.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1814151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No59c69.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.76065%39 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c69.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3777751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes17c61.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.416744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.616955.6%94 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.613461.2%82 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No62c59.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6822263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes41c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7815051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed No63c56.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.988760.9%53 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Yes36c53.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No61c49.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.517858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d67…9fffbacked Yes40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes23c47.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.655928.8%17 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed No64c46.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.766443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No60c40.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.097456.8%42 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.415259.9%91 W · 61 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.413560.7%82 W · 53 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes37c39.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.621822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No60c39.32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7323643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes36c39.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.155839.7%23 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No63c39.11$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.261,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b3…13edbacked No65c37.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…a253backed Yes40c35.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No60c32.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7810957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes39c31.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No62c31.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8824859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.