CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bdd4ae2dd023013a3226ae7aadd652566d783cd46d95df1200c32e978fa8193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof 100 Thieves, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 2,224$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.98 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked 100 Thieves | 73c | 1,716$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.51 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 36c | 1,125$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 37c | 948.08$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HOTU | 34c | 943.24$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.62 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HOTU | 26c | 833.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.37 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 624.95$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.19 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed HOTU | 37c | 407.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked HOTU | 45c | 389.3$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 378.02$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.1 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed HOTU | 55c | 356$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.69 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 355.59$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked HOTU | 44c | 349.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 346.67$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 277.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 251.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed HOTU | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 44c | 194.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed HOTU | 29c | 174$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.54 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 163.17$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HOTU | 47c | 163.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…513bbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 148.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…834cbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 133.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed HOTU | 37c | 133.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 120.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed HOTU | 40c | 118.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed HOTU | 42c | 117.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed HOTU | 34c | 111.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 102.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…79d3backed HOTU | 30c | 96.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…691ebacked 100 Thieves | 15c | 76.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…18b6backed HOTU | 43c | 73.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 71.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked HOTU | 28c | 70.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked HOTU | 47c | 65.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HOTU | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 55.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked HOTU | 28c | 51.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed HOTU | 35c | 50.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed HOTU | 48c | 49.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU | 35c | 47.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 40.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed HOTU | 48c | 38.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 32.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b4…d45dbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 26.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 24.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 23.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 20.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked HOTU | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…c202backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 18.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.