CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb35fd1c1051537cd3d5e85b97809bc45ec21847a041b13fa592a985827ead81b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda63…b031backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 2,712$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.41 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 1,994$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.01 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HOTU | 37c | 1,687$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 1,661$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.41 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed HOTU | 58c | 1,471$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.82 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked HOTU | 20c | 1,465$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.15 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 990.46$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.48 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HOTU | 31c | 852.06$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.93 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed HOTU | 8c | 795.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked HOTU | 47c | 788.96$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.88 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked HOTU | 42c | 755.91$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.58 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked HOTU | 35c | 749.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed HOTU | 48c | 719.43$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.63 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 700.67$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.59 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed HOTU | 30c | 644.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 640.31$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.83 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed HOTU | 24c | 628.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 552.55$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.72 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed HOTU | 37c | 550$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 37c | 481.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.77 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked HOTU | 36c | 448.53$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.55 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 444.26$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked HOTU | 44c | 442.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.73 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked HOTU | 37c | 432.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed HOTU | 27c | 424.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 403.52$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 403.1$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 399.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.99 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed HOTU | 70c | 392.31$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked HOTU | 27c | 386.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 350$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.17 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked HOTU | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed HOTU | 71c | 276.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed HOTU | 31c | 276.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.12 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed HOTU | 71c | 275.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HOTU | 21c | 246.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU | 38c | 241.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 221.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked HOTU | 26c | 212.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked HOTU | 24c | 212.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked 100 Thieves | 40c | 211.77$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…90c2backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 211.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed HOTU | 65c | 204.3$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 66c | 203.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 201.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…3624backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 196.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed HOTU | 21c | 195.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed HOTU | 47c | 193.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed HOTU | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b4…d45dbacked HOTU | 32c | 188.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed HOTU | 30c | 186.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 185.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HOTU | 31c | 175.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed HOTU | 25c | 172.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed HOTU | 68c | 171.17$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed HOTU | 29c | 165.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 162.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked HOTU | 30c | 162.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…806dbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 149.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed HOTU | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b50ebacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed HOTU | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed HOTU | 8c | 143.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…79d3backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 140.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed HOTU | 41c | 137.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed HOTU | 10c | 136.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked HOTU | 69c | 134.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 133.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…7983backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 126$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 122.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HOTU | 39c | 121.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked HOTU | 40c | 121.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 119.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked HOTU | 16c | 116.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 116.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 113.96$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed HOTU | 28c | 110.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HOTU | 23c | 110.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HOTU | 36c | 107.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed HOTU | 57c | 106.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked HOTU | 46c | 105.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked HOTU | 48c | 105.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…0d64backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked HOTU | 15c | 100.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 99.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed HOTU | 47c | 98.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 97.79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked HOTU | 48c | 95.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 75c | 93.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked HOTU | 40c | 90.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 90.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 88.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.