Tennis · resolved market
Trieste: Andrea Guerrieri vs Oriol Roca Batalla
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cc5531e3ca75e1c863fd2435e39d9642d244d01a61c0c09c96961efab4744a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Guerrieriof Andrea Guerrieri, Oriol Roca Batalla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 18c | 5,005$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.85 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 62c | 3,696$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.85 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 39c | 3,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 1,714$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.54 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Andrea Guerrieri | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.07 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Andrea Guerrieri | 65c | 833.78$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrea Guerrieri | 74c | 630.8$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 66c | 576.6$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.82 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…7c89backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 13c | 400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 63c | 382.09$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 364.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Andrea Guerrieri | 64c | 363.38$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 21c | 358.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andrea Guerrieri | 79c | 324.21$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 310$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 33c | 304.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 41c | 299.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 281.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 37c | 274.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 241.97$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…6cfabacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 235$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 233.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 32c | 220.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 29c | 219.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Andrea Guerrieri | 63c | 202$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 46c | 198.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 189.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 180.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 166.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Andrea Guerrieri | 61c | 160.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 17c | 116.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 110.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Andrea Guerrieri | 73c | 100.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Andrea Guerrieri | 64c | 94.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 90.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 72c | 89.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 20c | 82.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 61c | 82.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 40c | 81.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 80.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 66c | 75.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 67c | 74.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff0…53a1backed Andrea Guerrieri | 64c | 74.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 73.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Andrea Guerrieri | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 40c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…9bacbacked Oriol Roca Batalla | 35c | 59.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 37c | 56.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 43.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Oriol Roca Batalla | 41c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 64c | 27.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Andrea Guerrieri | 64c | 23.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Andrea Guerrieri | 70c | 17.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Andrea Guerrieri | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.