Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cec7b5f60c2fb91a02312ca9f1950e1e207a3f2db8c18628c2bdd75dc4fcbe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 57,124$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 1c | 8,818$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3913…83cabacked Yes | 0c | 5,254$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd0…24a3backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 7c | 3,885$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.19 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 7c | 2,875$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 6c | 2,407$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 16c | 2,375$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,183$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,945$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…d928backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 6c | 1,584$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 7c | 1,422$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 1,383$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 8c | 1,285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 6c | 1,280$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…a412backed Yes | 8c | 1,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 1,177$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…0c38backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 13c | 999.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd4…a98cbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…f51abacked Yes | 7c | 816.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 14c | 807.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Yes | 7c | 800.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e824backed Yes | 7c | 754.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 685.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…90ebbacked Yes | 8c | 589.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Yes | 7c | 520$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a8…d6f1backed Yes | 7c | 520$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…3284backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 6c | 461.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 6c | 448.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes | 8c | 391.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…1a03backed Yes | 6c | 363.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc343…76cbbacked Yes | 7c | 361.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 5c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbded…156ebacked Yes | 6c | 344.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…a524backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…bf86backed Yes | 16c | 312.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Yes | 7c | 298.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…4fb5backed Yes | 6c | 297.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…17a8backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 5c | 272.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…cf38backed Yes | 8c | 263.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bf…65debacked Yes | 8c | 261.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…96d6backed Yes | 11c | 260.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…932bbacked Yes | 8c | 260.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 6c | 258.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 255.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…8b16backed Yes | 8c | 244.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…bd37backed Yes | 5c | 222.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…111bbacked Yes | 7c | 220.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd513…e249backed Yes | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…256ebacked Yes | 9c | 216.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…ea2ebacked Yes | 7c | 211.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb147…beedbacked Yes | 7c | 211.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes | 6c | 209.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 5c | 201.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf71…1548backed Yes | 6c | 200.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…3a40backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…dd61backed Yes | 8c | 197.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 7c | 196.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed Yes | 7c | 191.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…a28bbacked Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…6250backed Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…f4dcbacked Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683c…6f68backed Yes | 12c | 165.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd70…2168backed Yes | 12c | 162.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…b7cdbacked Yes | 12c | 113.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 15c | 102.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37c…ba27backed Yes | 12c | 100.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…3948backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco?Yes won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco?No won
- Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.