TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,254 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings59c28,657$16,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,908.4915056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1756…4ff8backed Nets47c26,162$12,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,874.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Kings22c23,852$5,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,247.453938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets64c12,400$7,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,505.1526547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings68c8,489$5,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,769.959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets71c8,373$5,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,408.4970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Kings57c7,848$4,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4496744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets22c5,288$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.621,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1f…f491backed Kings57c5,274$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings80c4,705$3,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,763.9876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings42c4,489$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.8461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets53c3,775$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.851,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings23c3,669$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.131,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Kings56c3,361$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets21c3,350$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,644.9746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Nets64c2,515$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.0323956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Nets20c2,490$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.7812841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Nets36c2,451$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.068417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings39c2,435$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.2565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Nets20c2,364$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.9322832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Kings78c2,287$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.857354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Nets58c2,244$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.3116617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Kings66c2,226$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.443161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Kings16c2,216$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.2410236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Kings79c2,103$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.57741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Kings79c2,025$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60028063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5401,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4624…0a84backed Nets21c2,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed Kings78c2,000$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.962343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Nets74c1,593$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.638229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Kings66c1,516$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5414847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Nets45c1,345$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.8929043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Nets56c1,248$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.243132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Nets61c1,246$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8711135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85de…87e5backed Nets48c1,221$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.042860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa468…ab76backed Nets66c1,028$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7901,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Kings55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5507657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Kings80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Nets20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8008043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Kings47c1,000$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4686230.6%19 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Nets20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80010462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…86b2backed Kings43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Kings79c999.95$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Kings37c968.75$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.754045%18 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd889…cf51backed Nets62c967.48$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Nets22c897.86$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9819642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Nets41c749.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.9915234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Kings45c689.35$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.548439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Kings30c687.67$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.911926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Nets22c670$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.96634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8df…32b4backed Kings50c649.99$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Nets58c648.91$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.5423646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15d…4b31backed Nets76c644.35$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+97.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…6130backed Kings78c619.96$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.5716160.9%98 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f8…a7e8backed Nets39c582.9$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Nets49c554.24$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3637831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f1…b624backed Kings55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5930…f3fdbacked Nets37c500$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3134344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Nets23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38518316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3f…8117backed Nets21c480.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Nets21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.194136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Kings70c450$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.523048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Nets26c446.54$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.546547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Nets27c443.13$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.1310051%51 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings4c409.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.281,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x202d…f8dabacked Nets35c374.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.993531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2db…1856backed Kings3c367.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Kings80c365.01$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Nets46c357.72$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.178469%58 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Nets21c333.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.336030%18 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Nets29c326.29$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.148334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Kings78c305$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3526659%157 W · 109 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Nets21c293.05$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.519052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f31…d289backed Nets50c291.79$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Nets52c291.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.137958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ded…5d66backed Nets38c279.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.442462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…67a9backed Nets50c271.26$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kings50c266.73$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.6835734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Nets57c256.33$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.325561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Nets24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19023835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d0…47a2backed Kings12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Nets21c238.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0617834.8%62 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nets24c237.83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8348137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c31…5f1bbacked Nets58c234.22$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.372927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nets23c227.35$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0638132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Nets22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.277346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Nets22c227.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.274727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Nets24c224.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.824126.8%11 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49fd…d190backed Nets32c213.57$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.264030%12 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ba…2373backed Nets58c201.83$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.77837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed Nets21c200$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15815640.4%63 W · 93 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1166…94acbacked Nets39c199.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa525…f7c9backed Nets37c196.97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.382161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c6d…81c2backed Nets34c190$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.93342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7762…1bb1backed Kings58c187.43$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Nets56c178.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.710147.5%48 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Nets23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.916144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…bb92backed Kings54c169$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Nets22c168.18$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1811636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.