NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d2dd52335d259ddf4ee748dc05f082ed7dadae7ff30bd6f53186ab378c3f9fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Lightning, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 18c | 3,074$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.33 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Lightning | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Bruins | 42c | 789.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.19 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lightning | 56c | 755.87$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.29 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Bruins | 44c | 522.73$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.73 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bruins | 42c | 517.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.35 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bruins | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 16c | 482.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Lightning | 56c | 399.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Lightning | 55c | 362.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Bruins | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Bruins | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 52c | 300.01$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.01 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Lightning | 18c | 296.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 19c | 276.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 57c | 275.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 56c | 214$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Lightning | 56c | 214$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…7df4backed Bruins | 46c | 208.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Bruins | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bruins | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Bruins | 44c | 181.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 55c | 172.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…a360backed Lightning | 56c | 115$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…e728backed Bruins | 47c | 113.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Bruins | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Lightning | 56c | 106$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Bruins | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 31c | 97.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Lightning | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Lightning | 55c | 75.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Bruins | 47c | 74.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…c613backed Lightning | 27c | 73.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Bruins | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Bruins | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Lightning | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed Bruins | 47c | 49.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8f37backed Lightning | 55c | 48.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bruins | 45c | 45.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b248backed Bruins | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Lightning | 55c | 44.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…9442backed Bruins | 46c | 44.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…0b2dbacked Bruins | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…62d4backed Bruins | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1f…40f4backed Bruins | 48c | 41.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…a12fbacked Lightning | 52c | 41.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…0b16backed Lightning | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bruins | 59c | 40.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Lightning | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…b3c4backed Bruins | 46c | 38.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…2b5bbacked Bruins | 47c | 38.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bruins | 50c | 37.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb89…62d0backed Lightning | 55c | 37.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked Lightning | 55c | 35.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…a21fbacked Bruins | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…98d0backed Lightning | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…ff15backed Lightning | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…9054backed Lightning | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd27…008abacked Bruins | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…3ad1backed Bruins | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…41b9backed Lightning | 55c | 33.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 55cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…8b75backed Lightning | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…863ebacked Bruins | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…9e8cbacked Bruins | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…fae8backed Lightning | 55c | 30.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…2ef6backed Lightning | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…a7b0backed Lightning | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…24cabacked Bruins | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…c358backed Bruins | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…f5acbacked Lightning | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…3f67backed Bruins | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…429bbacked Bruins | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7149…2c06backed Lightning | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e9…964fbacked Bruins | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b0…764abacked Lightning | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…48ffbacked Lightning | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b15…7343backed Bruins | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Lightning | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf017…abc5backed Lightning | 54c | 29.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e74…7b4abacked Bruins | 46c | 29.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb48…696cbacked Lightning | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…55e5backed Bruins | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…f983backed Bruins | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…d0e4backed Lightning | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…1311backed Bruins | 44c | 28.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9f…9743backed Bruins | 46c | 28.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…c696backed Lightning | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…23f7backed Lightning | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…be4abacked Bruins | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579e…201cbacked Bruins | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3e…7ee5backed Bruins | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1784…8745backed Lightning | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe211…56d6backed Lightning | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0b…33a7backed Bruins | 45c | 27.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…7475backed Lightning | 55c | 27.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.