Tennis · resolved market
Kitzbuehel: Caijsa Hennemann vs Sinja Kraus
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e1ab077005fc30c2585f9e5364472ff657b906273ceab4a6424f51582090722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinja Krausof Caijsa Hennemann, Sinja Kraus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb242…4312backed Caijsa Hennemann | 0c | 50,735$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.65 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Caijsa Hennemann | 15c | 7,826$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Caijsa Hennemann | 4c | 4,058$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 3,666$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.3 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Caijsa Hennemann | 19c | 3,566$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.6 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Caijsa Hennemann | 7c | 2,565$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 1,301$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.16 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Caijsa Hennemann | 23c | 959.92$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.78 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Caijsa Hennemann | 8c | 841.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Caijsa Hennemann | 10c | 813.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 18c | 804.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sinja Kraus | 76c | 528.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 22c | 514.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Caijsa Hennemann | 9c | 503.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 12c | 422.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 396.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 21c | 339.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…da0abacked Caijsa Hennemann | 18c | 241.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Sinja Kraus | 80c | 167.61$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Sinja Kraus | 77c | 159.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 153.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Caijsa Hennemann | 10c | 133$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Caijsa Hennemann | 13c | 128.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 127.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Sinja Kraus | 78c | 104.34$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sinja Kraus | 66c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Caijsa Hennemann | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 93.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Caijsa Hennemann | 21c | 90.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 79.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 76.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Caijsa Hennemann | 20c | 72.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinja Kraus | 75c | 72.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 71.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Caijsa Hennemann | 23c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Caijsa Hennemann | 23c | 64.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…3aa8backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sinja Kraus | 79c | 54.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Caijsa Hennemann | 20c | 52.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 50.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Sinja Kraus | 80c | 48.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 44.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 29c | 36.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 35.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Sinja Kraus | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6a…77b8backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sinja Kraus | 75c | 24.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Sinja Kraus | 80c | 21.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Sinja Kraus | 74c | 18.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sinja Kraus | 78c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Sinja Kraus | 77c | 15.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kitzbuehel: Caijsa Hennemann vs Sinja Krausthis page
- Set 2 Winner: Hennemann vs KrausKraus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.