South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f65f7f055c7208ae048f3c2d156c7cfa6df2f39fa3c694dc3132771af4b5277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64ce…944bbacked Over | 40c | 223,973$90,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,350.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 117,530$70,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,721.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 62c | 31,854$19,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,104.45 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 31,288$17,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,457 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 57c | 12,319$7,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,297.17 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 60c | 6,604$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,653.51 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 6,080$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.71 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 58c | 4,160$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.8 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 2,902$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 2,834$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.66 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 2,025$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.75 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 57c | 1,564$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.52 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 1,125$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.25 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 928.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.45 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 56c | 919.99$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.8 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 57c | 888$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.84 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked Under | 60c | 794.28$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 56c | 621.72$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.56 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 57c | 619.3$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.3 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 42c | 551.45$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.88 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…8a0bbacked Under | 57c | 501.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 60c | 411.35$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 397.88$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.26 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 60c | 361$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 60c | 360.28$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.39 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 314.66$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 307.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 43c | 307$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 59c | 300.88$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 258.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 55c | 249.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 62c | 221.07$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 50c | 204.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 62c | 203.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Under | 62c | 198.81$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 60c | 194.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 191.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 58c | 168.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 42c | 150.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 137.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 58c | 127.46$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 57c | 115.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…cba9backed Under | 62c | 103.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 57c | 101.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Over | 35c | 99.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…1d04backed Under | 59c | 98.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Under | 61c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 57c | 82.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 36c | 73.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 61c | 72.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 57c | 70.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Under | 58c | 61.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 60.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 32c | 58.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Under | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 57c | 50.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 57c | 49.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 57c | 49.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…0eb2backed Under | 61c | 46.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 65c | 44.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 62c | 38.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 48c | 37.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 42c | 34.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 41c | 32.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Over | 44c | 32.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 56c | 27.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 67c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked Under | 53c | 25.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked Under | 61c | 21.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 53c | 21.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 57c | 19.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…c68bbacked Under | 61c | 18.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Peñarol vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Peñarol (-1.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.