Lol · resolved market
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1006934cca89f916014f631b4f83208cd9de036899945fb7a4e480ce23daabee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof ROSSMANN Centaurs, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 4,924$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.15 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 2,642$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.79 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 3c | 2,555$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 788 | 9.8%77 W · 711 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 5c | 1,423$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 355 | 46.8%166 W · 189 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 17c | 1,079$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.26 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 19c | 982.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 6c | 964.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 4c | 716.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 10c | 659.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 489.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | -17.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 448.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 442.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 3c | 432$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 417.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 415.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 28c | 377.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed BIG | 76c | 342.75$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 17c | 330.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 640 | 48.1%308 W · 332 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 295.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 292.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…fe97backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 23c | 207.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 7c | 189.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 481 | 35.3%170 W · 311 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 8c | 188.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BIG | 73c | 187$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…0c09backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 12c | 177.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 272 | 50.7%138 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 10c | 175.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 10c | 153.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 9c | 145.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 10c | 144.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…0d62backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 24c | 132.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 10c | 125.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…2363backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 11c | 114.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BIG | 78c | 94.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 14c | 88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed BIG | 76c | 72.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…cb4abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 15c | 71.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 14c | 70.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 77c | 70.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG | 77c | 66.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed BIG | 76c | 62.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -21.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed BIG | 76c | 59.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked BIG | 79c | 39.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG | 74c | 34.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.