Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Tarleton State Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11ecd28f3c4a6a1f8b8a68417dd2571c08c9e5dc835ad5c4b1e24409eb84bb7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tarleton State Texansof California Baptist Lancers, Tarleton State Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California Baptist Lancers | 27c | 2,378$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.97 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tarleton State Texans | 38c | 1,283$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.73 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 1,125$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 1,064$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.6 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tarleton State Texans | 58c | 1,043$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked California Baptist Lancers | 34c | 908.07$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tarleton State Texans | 52c | 763.08$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.28 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 498.6$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California Baptist Lancers | 32c | 430.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 43c | 421.02$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed California Baptist Lancers | 60c | 344.67$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.82 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tarleton State Texans | 51c | 343.65$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.64 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Tarleton State Texans | 33c | 291.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…ffa1backed California Baptist Lancers | 19c | 280.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed California Baptist Lancers | 4c | 266.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed California Baptist Lancers | 36c | 215$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked California Baptist Lancers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Tarleton State Texans | 76c | 184$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa241…c62bbacked Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 181.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tarleton State Texans | 61c | 169.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California Baptist Lancers | 44c | 165.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Tarleton State Texans | 36c | 158$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tarleton State Texans | 42c | 156.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tarleton State Texans | 31c | 141$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Tarleton State Texans | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…e2c7backed California Baptist Lancers | 80c | 110.57$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…f0ebbacked California Baptist Lancers | 29c | 99.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed California Baptist Lancers | 45c | 93.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked California Baptist Lancers | 36c | 87.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 83.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 73.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California Baptist Lancers | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked California Baptist Lancers | 37c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed California Baptist Lancers | 45c | 46.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd5…7236backed Tarleton State Texans | 68c | 46.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tarleton State Texans | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed California Baptist Lancers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Tarleton State Texans | 58c | 35.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed California Baptist Lancers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed California Baptist Lancers | 74c | 25.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tarleton State Texans | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tarleton State Texans | 56c | 24.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tarleton State Texans | 54c | 21.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Tarleton State Texans | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…2c26backed California Baptist Lancers | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Tarleton State Texansthis page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 144.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: Tarleton State Texans (-2.5)Tarleton State Texans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.