Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1325db1d0aa6acbbb23b09a75ce706d87a941135c62aebf3ab925b2b2eaa6051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Fresno State Bulldogs, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 15c | 5,053$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 3,398$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 29c | 2,877$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.05 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 23c | 1,795$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 16c | 1,084$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 65c | 963.83$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.58 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 34c | 958.64$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 24c | 658$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 70c | 650$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 26c | 608$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 31c | 605.07$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 62c | 497$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.56 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 15c | 444$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 14c | 428.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 8c | 320$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 33c | 306$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 15c | 266.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 71c | 252.26$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 230.73$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 55c | 194.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 64c | 176.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 68c | 176.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 21c | 159.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 72c | 152.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 13c | 152.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 42c | 146.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 69c | 129.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 22c | 128.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 15c | 126.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 16c | 125.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 24c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 73c | 102.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 32c | 102.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 25c | 92.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 26c | 83.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 53c | 64.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 27c | 49.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 27c | 47.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 73c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 77c | 17.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf Packthis page
- Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-11.5)Fresno State Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.