Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
La Salle Explorers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15bd42ba98ab5af0db55eda680b05b511a61e3ac5c74edcce92ca750b6743724
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 53c | 78,748$42,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,030.89 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 47c | 43,818$20,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,401.95 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 46c | 13,299$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,181.57 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 47c | 12,106$5,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360.79 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd435…826ebacked Over | 54c | 8,444$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,477$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 47c | 5,282$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 45c | 2,589$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.62 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 2,254$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.16 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 1,136$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.82 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 54c | 999.99$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 46c | 978.26$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.26 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 48c | 645.83$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 46c | 597$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.38 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 47c | 530.69$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.58 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 46c | 504.35$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.35 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 487.93$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.13 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 48c | 479.17$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 47c | 438.17$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.01 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 47c | 392.59$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 54c | 377.68$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.76 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 46c | 340.81$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 261.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…48dfbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 206.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.23 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 47c | 161.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 108.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Under | 47c | 28.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 46c | 25.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Under | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- La Salle Explorers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers: O/U 138.5this page
- La Salle Explorers vs. Loyola Chicago RamblersLoyola Chicago Ramblers won
- Spread: Loyola Chicago Ramblers (-2.5)Loyola Chicago Ramblers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.