MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x162751ffa757bca65ee8b76dfc735ca539e77d8be5d401800307806b8b13a37a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8929…733ebacked SSG Landers | 19c | 1,125$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.7 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed SSG Landers | 62c | 829.65$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.71 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 11c | 737.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 685.38$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.65 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 574.06$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Lotte Giants | 26c | 496.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.79 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lotte Giants | 37c | 336.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.96 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked SSG Landers | 34c | 312.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked SSG Landers | 61c | 303.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed SSG Landers | 58c | 285.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Lotte Giants | 79c | 282$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 225$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SSG Landers | 45c | 136.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 123$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Lotte Giants | 77c | 120.49$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed SSG Landers | 60c | 110.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed SSG Landers | 62c | 109.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SSG Landers | 25c | 108.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lotte Giants | 23c | 103.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…c873backed SSG Landers | 51c | 97.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 96.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked SSG Landers | 45c | 88.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…2c8ebacked Lotte Giants | 24c | 83.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…dd58backed SSG Landers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed SSG Landers | 48c | 77.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 33c | 74.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 69.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Lotte Giants | 38c | 66.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 60.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Lotte Giants | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked SSG Landers | 45c | 53.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 47.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SSG Landers | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 38.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked SSG Landers | 61c | 37.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked SSG Landers | 53c | 37.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lotte Giants | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Lotte Giants | 59c | 36.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SSG Landers | 61c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed SSG Landers | 63c | 27.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked SSG Landers | 62c | 25.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 406 | 50.2%204 W · 202 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 24.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed SSG Landers | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed SSG Landers | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed SSG Landers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.