Mls · resolved market
Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168b71ef76596403807fcadc825cbdd99f79ee31951c93e3963f05aaf2850f88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47c9…2038backed No | 8c | 554.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 479.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.43 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 63c | 302.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 272.66$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 45c | 254.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 154.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.55 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 76c | 149.04$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 67c | 125.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 118.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 111$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 111$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 38c | 86.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 37c | 80.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 67c | 64.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 60.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 54c | 54.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed No | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 34c | 43.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 63c | 36.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 41c | 33.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63fc…4a6cbacked Yes | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: Sporting Kansas City O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: Sporting Kansas City O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: Sporting Kansas City O/U 2.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 1.5Under won
- Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC: St. Louis City SC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)St. Louis City SC won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: St. Louis City SC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.