TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawksof Massachusetts Minutemen, Miami (OH) RedHawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,989 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6ec…81c2backed Massachusetts Minutemen20c3,300$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.498817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f9…4dd7backed Massachusetts Minutemen47c3,110$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.33825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks76c2,153$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.244146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Massachusetts Minutemen34c1,423$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.484,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Miami (OH) RedHawks62c1,023$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.371,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c649.03$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.022,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks64c572.68$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.261,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks56c533.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.326235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks62c518.85$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.311,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Massachusetts Minutemen28c504.98$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.41020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks65c477.53$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.121,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks52c463$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.071,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks62c443.32$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.413,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Miami (OH) RedHawks70c439$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7214643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Massachusetts Minutemen38c408.62$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.621,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts Minutemen18c397.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Massachusetts Minutemen30c336.18$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9966831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Massachusetts Minutemen40c329.06$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15016746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd682…1ae2backed Massachusetts Minutemen30c262.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2822…2459backed Miami (OH) RedHawks70c256.69$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.77757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Massachusetts Minutemen19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8889146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…b6a9backed Massachusetts Minutemen42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005619.6%11 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b3…70c5backed Massachusetts Minutemen45c222.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0848462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Massachusetts Minutemen29c193.49$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9820234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc35…c471backed Massachusetts Minutemen34c179.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.881030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Miami (OH) RedHawks80c175.24$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.247361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Miami (OH) RedHawks63c170$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.68342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Massachusetts Minutemen34c161.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6153635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen16c154.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.722,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Miami (OH) RedHawks79c153.78$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.945,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Miami (OH) RedHawks50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7525325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks73c136.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4840252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Massachusetts Minutemen20c132$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.47353.4%39 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Massachusetts Minutemen39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502425%6 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks64c127.39$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.432,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Massachusetts Minutemen30c123.63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.461,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Massachusetts Minutemen16c119.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks79c118.11$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.361,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen19c117$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.238939.3%35 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Miami (OH) RedHawks58c102.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1553646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Miami (OH) RedHawks57c100.57$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3236942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Massachusetts Minutemen18c99.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x470e…07c0backed Massachusetts Minutemen19c99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.817349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Massachusetts Minutemen19c91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.296743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.157060%42 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Miami (OH) RedHawks56c76.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.248362.7%52 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Massachusetts Minutemen19c74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.065253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Massachusetts Minutemen46c67.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.962,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Miami (OH) RedHawks66c64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4522050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen19c63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.977553.3%40 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8217647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Miami (OH) RedHawks69c49.95$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4831646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Miami (OH) RedHawks59c49$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.083,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Massachusetts Minutemen29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.541,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Miami (OH) RedHawks64c37.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.328140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Miami (OH) RedHawks66c36.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4397447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2312153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Massachusetts Minutemen39c32.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Massachusetts Minutemen36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.826848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Miami (OH) RedHawks80c29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Massachusetts Minutemen40c27.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8713550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Miami (OH) RedHawks65c26.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.419264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83b1…cac1backed Miami (OH) RedHawks80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22075%15 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Massachusetts Minutemen42c24.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2629954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa89…d3cfbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks68c21.19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.78875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Miami (OH) RedHawks80c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Miami (OH) RedHawks69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.17844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Miami (OH) RedHawks51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.810252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Miami (OH) RedHawks80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Miami (OH) RedHawks80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.