MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16bc5503f7d039f27e91d1a8568b4405a9b23a9849a031096e842f147277b37b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof New York Yankees, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 2,905$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.18 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees | 42c | 2,382$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 37c | 2,247$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.36 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 38c | 1,945$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,817$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.34 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees | 34c | 1,640$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.6 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 1,210$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.93 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 1,087$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.26 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees | 37c | 1,018$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 685$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.3 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 38c | 641.65$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.83 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 353.12$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.97 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 182.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 174.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 37c | 159.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 148$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees | 31c | 100.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed New York Yankees | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed New York Yankees | 29c | 97.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed New York Yankees | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 68.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -11.1wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed New York Yankees | 39c | 59.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 57.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 55.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Yankees | 37c | 55.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 51.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Yankees | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 38c | 49.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 48.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed New York Yankees | 31c | 47.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed New York Yankees | 39c | 39.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed New York Yankees | 38c | 36.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 881 | 53.7%473 W · 408 L | +40.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed New York Yankees | 37c | 31.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 19.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1,481 | 63.5%940 W · 541 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York YankeesDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 12.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-7.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.