Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Luca Van Assche vs Leandro Riedi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x196abacee0a0f29f1319e3b32809539ac6c38f7961fcfbc64a6ddbd9e6c06035
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asscheof Assche, Riedi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Assche | 30c | 11,791$3,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,252.94 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Riedi | 73c | 9,082$6,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,587.35 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Riedi | 43c | 2,095$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.96 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…ce3cbacked Assche | 23c | 1,700$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Riedi | 49c | 1,204$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.33 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Assche | 9c | 1,164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.32 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Riedi | 2c | 1,116$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Riedi | 67c | 741.71$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.56 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Assche | 60c | 639.73$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.73 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Riedi | 41c | 545.48$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Assche | 35c | 463.34$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.17 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Assche | 57c | 405$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.15 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Assche | 38c | 392.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.7 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Assche | 55c | 362.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.79 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Riedi | 60c | 334.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Riedi | 62c | 288.55$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac5…30e5backed Riedi | 43c | 283.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Assche | 63c | 245.25$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Assche | 51c | 232.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Riedi | 45c | 224.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Assche | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Riedi | 40c | 137.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Assche | 58c | 124.47$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Riedi | 47c | 124.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Assche | 14c | 117.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Assche | 59c | 115.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Riedi | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Riedi | 39c | 95.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Assche | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Assche | 17c | 83.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed Riedi | 43c | 81.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Riedi | 43c | 73.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…3842backed Riedi | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Assche | 61c | 57.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Assche | 60c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Assche | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Riedi | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Riedi | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Assche | 36c | 35.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Assche | 57c | 30.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Assche | 55c | 29.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Assche | 40c | 27.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Assche | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Assche | 60c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Assche | 60c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Riedi | 69c | 18.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Riedi | 61c | 16.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.