TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under47c11,460$5,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,418.9711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over30c10,852$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,559.838,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c9,932$5,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,656.664,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under48c7,680$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.3923538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c5,488$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.748,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994b…c047backed Over54c3,654$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.644257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c3,061$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.155,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over62c2,059$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.2910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c1,700$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7991,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over52c1,520$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.6511741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c1,515$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.092,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over53c1,424$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.712,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over58c1,228$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.6940753.6%218 W · 189 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.423357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over52c879$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9292054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c750.44$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.211,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Under48c621.85$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under47c613.8$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4977951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under48c520$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.622548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.371,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over39c491.48$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.82,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.794034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over41c462.62$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.972,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under52c416.88$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21722753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28017252.9%91 W · 81 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over54c396.93$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.596048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under38c370.83$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.323,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c346.47$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.861,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c325$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15677050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under50c285$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.529950.5%151 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under42c268.22$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2420852.9%110 W · 98 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over43c262.1$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.585,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under41c210.5$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.411,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Over51c202.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.466442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over54c195.49$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.491,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over53c185.9$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.736,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under59c173$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7378146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under65c166.16$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5455847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under48c164.8$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.122849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over47c147$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.338,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Over52c144$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1213452.2%70 W · 64 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c140.95$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.334,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under46c140.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6319248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under47c134$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9875049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over52c130.23$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1273748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Over46c130.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0512753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Over57c121.4$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under48c118.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.119549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under61c118.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.441,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under63c115$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4529047.6%138 W · 152 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c80…fa1ebacked Over53c113.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.551060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over53c112.22$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2248150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047850.4%241 W · 237 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4861948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Under54c92.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.889037.8%34 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under50c92.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1810246.1%47 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over49c91.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.581,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over29c90$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Under69c89.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.622347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c84.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.922,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6524646.7%115 W · 131 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Over50c79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.59243.5%40 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under61c77.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4767742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over52c77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9621353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b06…9d38backed Over50c72.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.44564.4%29 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under46c72.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5125249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Under36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under56c67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.775,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over54c65.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2148651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c62.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6172247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c62$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.761,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c58.1$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under60c56.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4511149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under61c56.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4518651.1%95 W · 91 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under61c56.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4419855.1%109 W · 89 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over58c54.52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.96355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over29c54.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2137143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Over41c53.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6617460.3%105 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Under47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under56c52.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2227354.6%149 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over48c51.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0321944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Over54c51.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.946743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under36c50.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0837747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2518855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2482551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under52c49.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.594648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under52c49.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c48.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8829752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under52c46.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2614353.1%76 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.326351.3%135 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under49c43.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1499744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x678a…ac4dbacked Under60c40.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.051154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under64c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.322,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Under43c35.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x411c…172abacked Over52c34.56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Over50c34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1722257.7%128 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513641.9%57 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over51c30.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.