MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a8c10fcad2b034585184ba320ddc655293d37a9d1f06828fb24cd032fe67644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 11,460$5,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,418.97 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 10,852$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,559.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 9,932$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,656.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 48c | 7,680$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.39 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 5,488$2,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 54c | 3,654$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.64 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 3,061$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 62c | 2,059$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Over | 52c | 1,520$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.65 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 47c | 1,515$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.09 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 53c | 1,424$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.71 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 58c | 1,228$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.69 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 52c | 879$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.92 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 750.44$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.21 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 48c | 621.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 47c | 613.8$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.49 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.37 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 39c | 491.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.8 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 41c | 462.62$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.97 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Under | 52c | 416.88$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 54c | 396.93$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.59 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 38c | 370.83$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 346.47$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 325$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 50c | 285$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 42c | 268.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.24 | 208 | 52.9%110 W · 98 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 262.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 210.5$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Over | 51c | 202.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.46 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 195.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 53c | 185.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 173$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 65c | 166.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 48c | 164.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 147$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 52c | 144$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 140.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 46c | 140.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 47c | 134$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 52c | 130.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Over | 46c | 130.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Over | 57c | 121.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 48c | 118.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 61c | 118.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 63c | 115$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…fa1ebacked Over | 53c | 113.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 53c | 112.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Under | 54c | 92.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 50c | 92.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 91.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Under | 69c | 89.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 84.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Over | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 61c | 77.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…9d38backed Over | 50c | 72.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 72.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 54c | 65.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 62.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 47c | 58.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 60c | 56.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 61c | 56.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 61c | 56.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 58c | 54.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 29c | 54.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Over | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 56c | 52.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 48c | 51.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Over | 54c | 51.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 36c | 50.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 52c | 49.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 49.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 48.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 52c | 46.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 49c | 43.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678a…ac4dbacked Under | 60c | 40.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Under | 43c | 35.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…172abacked Over | 52c | 34.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 30.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.