TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexico City: Raphael Perot vs Stefan Kozlov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stefan Kozlovof Raphael Perot, Stefan Kozlov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Raphael Perot44c8,515$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.5322856.1%128 W · 100 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stefan Kozlov58c5,292$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raphael Perot23c4,202$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.352,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Stefan Kozlov56c3,354$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.868,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stefan Kozlov72c2,153$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.542,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefan Kozlov75c1,736$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.816,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raphael Perot25c1,640$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.748,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Stefan Kozlov73c1,348$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.8746473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Stefan Kozlov59c1,324$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.929947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Raphael Perot26c1,149$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.352,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Stefan Kozlov60c1,099$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.51752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Raphael Perot40c1,060$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1797141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Raphael Perot41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4106726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Stefan Kozlov61c780.08$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.44639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stefan Kozlov59c551.53$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.883,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Raphael Perot39c471.34$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.821,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Raphael Perot41c470.72$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1931,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Raphael Perot40c391.16$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2422033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Stefan Kozlov59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5684963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Stefan Kozlov60c325.33$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.131,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Stefan Kozlov61c322.51$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.243964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Raphael Perot20c280.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0719851%101 W · 97 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf9…626dbacked Raphael Perot51c272.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2127936.2%101 W · 178 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Raphael Perot22c258.8$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.231,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Raphael Perot42c255.51$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.829246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Raphael Perot41c250.77$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.823,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Stefan Kozlov59c243.85$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9836852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Raphael Perot40c238.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.594,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Raphael Perot44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6450952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Stefan Kozlov75c191.96$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9915742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raphael Perot37c190.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.479,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Raphael Perot42c176.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6695846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d7…893dbacked Stefan Kozlov57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.495046%23 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3890…41a3backed Raphael Perot28c165.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.88825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Stefan Kozlov59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7860158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Raphael Perot40c148.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8929230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Raphael Perot40c146.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.886835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Stefan Kozlov71c143.93$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.741,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Stefan Kozlov63c137.12$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.744,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Raphael Perot23c130.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4727247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stefan Kozlov76c130.01$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4648043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Stefan Kozlov76c122.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Raphael Perot18c117.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.14,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Raphael Perot40c102.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3196755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Stefan Kozlov58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Stefan Kozlov60c98.34$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3424546.5%114 W · 131 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Stefan Kozlov60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0446556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Raphael Perot42c91.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6134637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Raphael Perot17c78.51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.582,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Stefan Kozlov56c78.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.429839.8%39 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Stefan Kozlov59c74.39$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.52,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…8ce1backed Raphael Perot23c72.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Stefan Kozlov52c66.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6514772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Stefan Kozlov51c62.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4481255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Stefan Kozlov59c61.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3638754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Raphael Perot37c60.51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.323,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed Stefan Kozlov65c59.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.741675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+45.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Raphael Perot29c59.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.456,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dd…9757backed Stefan Kozlov69c57.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.061070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Stefan Kozlov60c56.93$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7788560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Stefan Kozlov63c55.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5510454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Stefan Kozlov64c54.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6723758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Raphael Perot24c52.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6373549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Stefan Kozlov64c49.35$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7711958.8%70 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Raphael Perot41c47.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.310550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Stefan Kozlov68c46.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1150156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff1…4766backed Raphael Perot39c44.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2616762.3%104 W · 63 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Stefan Kozlov70c43.76$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1337741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Stefan Kozlov69c42.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.192,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Raphael Perot31c41.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Stefan Kozlov59c41.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9541668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Stefan Kozlov72c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3612756.7%72 W · 55 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Stefan Kozlov49c35.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1620836.5%76 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Stefan Kozlov69c35.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8457052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Raphael Perot31c35.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9441658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Stefan Kozlov57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.746848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Stefan Kozlov50c30.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0481457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Stefan Kozlov48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.645051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Stefan Kozlov76c29.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1312856.3%72 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Stefan Kozlov67c27.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3423634.7%82 W · 154 L-37.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Stefan Kozlov74c25.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.461,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Stefan Kozlov64c24.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8492352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Stefan Kozlov72c22.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4457267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Stefan Kozlov72c22.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1229851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Stefan Kozlov74c21.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6848453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Stefan Kozlov59c21.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8575262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Stefan Kozlov66c21.06$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1512152.9%64 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Stefan Kozlov67c20.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7427566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Stefan Kozlov61c20.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.911,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Stefan Kozlov59c19.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.155747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Stefan Kozlov78c19.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4188273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Stefan Kozlov72c19.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3932050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Stefan Kozlov74c17.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7139955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Stefan Kozlov74c14.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8210454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Stefan Kozlov74c14.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8230555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672d…b570backed Stefan Kozlov79c14.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.032352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.