Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cda4e9c0cc1f6f391ba1f65b8195c80262ee4a9fb5107a49e97e37b5a7585ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 4c | 1,355$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,247$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,061$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.82 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 25c | 941.28$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.16 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 14c | 800.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed No | 72c | 717.77$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.31 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 5c | 705.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 13c | 704.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 595$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 528.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 2c | 487$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…b9f8backed Yes | 5c | 465$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 349 | 22.9%80 W · 269 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 19c | 367.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 20c | 362.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 9c | 355.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 335.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 17c | 335$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 33c | 331.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 14c | 302.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed No | 63c | 288.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 44c | 288.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 35c | 279.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 16c | 271.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked No | 79c | 255.5$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 38c | 253.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e64…2604backed Yes | 32c | 245$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 21c | 225.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 9c | 224.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 218.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 14c | 190.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 21c | 189.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 65c | 173.23$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 12c | 169.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 18c | 168.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 14c | 167$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…d968backed No | 64c | 165.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…b5dabacked Yes | 32c | 158.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 13c | 152.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 12c | 144.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 67c | 143.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 131.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 71c | 128.42$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 80c | 127.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 121.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 120.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 66c | 119.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 11c | 108.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Yes | 46c | 103.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…9c28backed Yes | 14c | 101.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…0888backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 34c | 96.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 14c | 95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…24fabacked Yes | 17c | 94.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8774…d1f1backed Yes | 32c | 94.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 93.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 24c | 90.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 20c | 89.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 32c | 87.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 22c | 87.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 16c | 81.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 79.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 20c | 76.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 31c | 72.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 54c | 65.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 71c | 65.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…67c5backed No | 67c | 62.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 24c | 62.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…825dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 79c | 61.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…bba7backed Yes | 80c | 61.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 18c | 60.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…172ebacked Yes | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 65c | 56.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 70c | 53.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 32c | 53.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 70c | 51.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…7870backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 33c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 34c | 45.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 68c | 45.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 69c | 42.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 41c | 41.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 63c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…2139backed Yes | 31c | 37.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.