Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba417740b4eb246a86c894ec32bcd607b4000512051cedfe0632894503b0f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked No | 5c | 8,117$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.81 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 3c | 3,373$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 980 | 13.9%136 W · 844 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 3c | 2,306$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 1,730 | 18%311 W · 1,419 L | +73.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 4c | 1,076$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 23c | 1,007$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 676 | 25.7%174 W · 502 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…cc74backed No | 5c | 722.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 9c | 658$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.95 | 2,335 | 20.6%480 W · 1,855 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 65c | 612.25$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.21 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 602.08$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.96 | 5,795 | 60%3,479 W · 2,316 L | -110.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 502.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 7,231 | 9.3%675 W · 6,556 L | -1,115.6wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 18c | 485.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 4,616 | 58.3%2,689 W · 1,927 L | -114.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 19c | 446.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.13 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 20c | 408.17$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.17 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 407.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 6,857 | 53.1%3,642 W · 3,215 L | +417.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 45c | 402.51$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 3,050 | 40.5%1,235 W · 1,815 L | -121.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked Yes | 22c | 400.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 398.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 378$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.76 | 4,505 | 19.6%882 W · 3,623 L | +47.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 43c | 309.52$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 1,093 | 29.6%324 W · 769 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 63c | 308.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 250 | 43.6%109 W · 141 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 14c | 305.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 2,267 | 57.4%1,301 W · 966 L | +72.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 44c | 304$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3,821 | 61.1%2,336 W · 1,485 L | -35.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 20c | 269.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 48c | 267.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.71 | 1,369 | 20.7%283 W · 1,086 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 36c | 256.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 253 | 61.7%156 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 25c | 252.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.64 | 912 | 28.9%264 W · 648 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 20c | 246.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…189dbacked No | 7c | 241.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 240.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 10,848 | 37.5%4,070 W · 6,778 L | +432.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 47c | 228.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 371 | 48.5%180 W · 191 L | +25.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 21c | 224.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1,433 | 52.1%747 W · 686 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 219$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.62 | 5,478 | 56%3,069 W · 2,409 L | -123.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 26c | 216.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 2,273 | 59.3%1,347 W · 926 L | +118.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed No | 18c | 210.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…0888backed Yes | 48c | 196.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 39c | 194.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 78c | 192.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 27c | 185.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 2,228 | 57%1,269 W · 959 L | +69.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,300 | 54.2%704 W · 596 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 76c | 174.42$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 78c | 172.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 8,309 | 49.2%4,089 W · 4,220 L | +271.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 18c | 170.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2,180 | 57%1,243 W · 937 L | +73.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 17c | 168.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 2,208 | 59.2%1,307 W · 901 L | +111.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 18c | 159.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.18 | 217 | 36.4%79 W · 138 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 23c | 158.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd70…1d06backed No | 6c | 157.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 39c | 156$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,005 | 51.8%521 W · 484 L | +108.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 46c | 148.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked No | 37c | 140.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.1 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 42c | 131.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 1,612 | 60.4%974 W · 638 L | -22.0wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 130.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…7bfdbacked No | 79c | 125.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 16c | 123$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 9c | 118.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2,140 | 53.2%1,139 W · 1,001 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 56c | 107.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Yes | 34c | 107.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 29c | 106.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 2,211 | 55.9%1,236 W · 975 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 77c | 102.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 32c | 102.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 412 | 51.7%213 W · 199 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 21c | 101.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 32c | 100.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 27c | 99.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 61c | 94.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 22c | 90.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…0212backed No | 13c | 89.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 252 | 58.7%148 W · 104 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 13c | 86.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,876 | 18.6%348 W · 1,528 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 82.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 9,885 | 45.9%4,540 W · 5,345 L | -302.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 77c | 82.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 43c | 81.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 27c | 80.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 19c | 78.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 2,422 | 35.5%860 W · 1,562 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 36c | 75.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 54c | 75.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 466 | 47.4%221 W · 245 L | +46.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 22c | 72.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 51c | 72.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 21c | 69.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 75c | 68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 632 | 43.2%273 W · 359 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 41c | 67.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2,628 | 54%1,419 W · 1,209 L | -56.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 78c | 64.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 384 | 42.4%163 W · 221 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 20c | 61.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 2,252 | 56.6%1,275 W · 977 L | +64.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 44c | 60.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 41c | 60.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 34c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 2,548 | 45.4%1,157 W · 1,391 L | +23.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8774…d1f1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 3,111 | 61.7%1,921 W · 1,190 L | -31.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 76c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 4,136 | 56.6%2,343 W · 1,793 L | +50.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 76c | 59.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,987 | 44.8%4,471 W · 5,516 L | +258.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 49c | 58.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 27c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 713 | 33.5%239 W · 474 L | +33.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 46c | 56.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 12,879 | 20.4%2,624 W · 10,255 L | -2,688.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 4,435 | 65.2%2,891 W · 1,544 L | +18.7wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 36c | 54.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 29c | 54.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 43c | 51.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked No | 25c | 50.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 388 | 55.7%216 W · 172 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.